Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.002819 0.003024 0.003247 0.003507 0.003806 0.004140 0.004549
2024-10-13 0.002492 0.002762 0.003073 0.003463 0.003947 0.004542 0.005350
2024-10-20 0.002213 0.002505 0.002855 0.003315 0.003920 0.004717 0.005906
2024-10-27 0.002063 0.002379 0.002770 0.003306 0.004051 0.005105 0.006841
2024-11-03 0.001858 0.002163 0.002546 0.003084 0.003853 0.004988 0.006970
2024-11-10 0.001788 0.002109 0.002524 0.003125 0.004027 0.005445 0.008188
2024-11-17 0.001739 0.002077 0.002524 0.003194 0.004246 0.006016 0.009866
2024-11-24 0.001665 0.002005 0.002464 0.003166 0.004306 0.006326 0.011161
2024-12-01 0.001633 0.001988 0.002476 0.003245 0.004551 0.007037 0.013912
2024-12-08 0.001577 0.001933 0.002430 0.003230 0.004629 0.007435 0.016165
2024-12-15 0.001514 0.001866 0.002361 0.003169 0.004616 0.007635 0.017982
2024-12-22 0.001492 0.001854 0.002372 0.003239 0.004854 0.008480 0.023626
2024-12-29 0.001467 0.001840 0.002383 0.003318 0.005143 0.009624 0.034725
2025-01-05 0.001417 0.001787 0.002333 0.003287 0.005205 0.010206 0.045833
2025-01-12 0.001349 0.001704 0.002230 0.003155 0.005035 0.010041 0.049426
2025-01-19 0.001313 0.001667 0.002198 0.003148 0.005136 0.010790 0.074173
2025-01-26 0.001237 0.001569 0.002063 0.002944 0.004771 0.009859 0.060365
2025-02-02 0.001218 0.001554 0.002061 0.002983 0.004964 0.010949 0.115678
2025-02-09 0.001205 0.001547 0.002072 0.003046 0.005228 0.012501 0.545180
2025-02-16 0.001175 0.001514 0.002037 0.003020 0.005269 0.013196 NaN
2025-02-23 0.001166 0.001511 0.002053 0.003094 0.005579 0.015439 NaN
2025-03-02 0.001141 0.001484 0.002026 0.003080 0.005654 0.016589 NaN
2025-03-09 0.001110 0.001447 0.001981 0.003024 0.005605 0.016989 NaN